OP Wire 10/4 (OP – Lite)

Hey OP family… It’s Friday! Another week of stacked gains as our alert play hit the 20% target once again. I’ll drop your upgrades and downgrades in the chat, so keep stacking!

Key Market Events Today:

Markets are hyper-focused on this morning’s September nonfarm payrolls report (08:30 ET). The U.S. economy is expected to show moderate job growth, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%. If these numbers hit the mark, the Fed may feel less pressure to issue another 50-basis point rate cut at their November and December meetings. After last month’s jumbo cut to support the labor market, any signs of steady job growth could shift the Fed to a more cautious stance on further rate reductions.

However, Hurricane Helene’s impact in the Southeast and the Boeing worker strike in the Pacific Northwest may affect these numbers, potentially skewing job growth data.

The major indices ended slightly down yesterday as the S&P 500 slipped 0.2%, the Dow shed 185 points (0.4%), and the Nasdaq ticked down by 0.04%. With caution in the air, especially given rising tensions in the Middle East, we’re watching for any surprises in today’s report.

Dockworkers Strike Suspended

Good news on the supply chain front! East and Gulf Coast dockworkers suspended their strike after reaching an agreement. The tentative deal, which includes a 62% wage increase over six years, helped prevent further economic fallout (analysts had estimated the strike was costing the U.S. economy $4.5 billion a day). However, issues around port automation remain unresolved, so this could reemerge in January when the master contract expires.

Other Key Headlines

  • Seven & i Holdings: Japan’s Seven & i Holdings (parent of 7-Eleven) may sell a majority stake in its supermarket business, including its Ito-Yokado division, targeting foreign investment funds. This potential sale follows their rejection of a $38.5 billion takeover offer from Canada’s Couche-Tard.
  • Oil Prices Rising: Oil is up 0.4%, with Brent at $77.96 and WTI at $74.06, both set for an 8% weekly gain. Middle East tensions are stoking supply fears, pushing oil toward its largest weekly rise since early 2023.

Let’s close out the week strong and prepare for live market analysis next week. Be ready to dive into today’s nonfarm payrolls data and key global developments for actionable insights. Keep stacking, OP!

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