💰 OP Lotto Tonight: $426 Million Jackpot
Tonight’s OP Lotto is sitting at $426 million! 🎉
As always, I’ll have your tickets posted in chat right after the bell. Good luck, OP Fam—stacking gains and maybe even dreams tonight!
📰 Market Breakdown – Monday, July 15, 2025
Tariffs. Jobs Data. Earnings. Volatility Is Back.
Wall Street closed sharply lower on Friday, as the S&P 500 suffered its worst single-day drop in over two months. The selling pressure came after President Trump signed an executive order slapping steep tariffs on imports from nearly 70 countries, escalating global trade tensions once again.
Adding to the chaos, a weak jobs report and Trump’s abrupt firing of the head of the U.S. statistics bureau—the office responsible for labor data—spooked markets. Trump accused the department of publishing “rigged” numbers, further shaking confidence in official U.S. economic data.
📉 Jobs Miss Lifts Rate Cut Hopes
- Nonfarm Payrolls (July): +73,000 jobs vs. 110,000 expected
- May & June revisions: Downward by a combined 258,000 jobs
- Fed Rate Cut Odds for Sept: Now above 80%
Despite the ugly print, bulls see this as fuel for a potential Fed rate cut. But the firing of the stats chief added a new layer of uncertainty, casting doubt on the credibility of future data.
📆 Earnings Watch: Big Names on Deck
Over 150 companies are reporting this week, and the line-up is loaded with heavy hitters across multiple sectors:
Tuesday:
- AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) – Watch for AI chip demand signals
- Caterpillar (CAT) – A key global industrial barometer
Wednesday:
- Disney (DIS)
- McDonald’s (MCD)
- Uber (UBER)
🧨 Bonus: Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B) just announced a $3.76B write-down on its Kraft Heinz (KHC) position, plus falling insurance underwriting premiums—another reminder that even the strongest names aren’t immune to macro drag.
🛢️ Crude Drops on OPEC+ Production Hike
Oil slipped Monday after OPEC+ agreed to add another 547,000 bpd in September, essentially accelerating the full unwind of their prior production cuts.
- Brent: $68.51 (-1.6%)
- WTI: $66.23 (-1.6%)
This puts pressure on energy names and raises questions about global demand just as trade tensions resurface.
📉 Tech Recap – QQQ: Bearish Weekly Close
- $QQQ Weekly Close: 553.88 (-1.97%)
- Candle Pattern: Bearish engulfing with a ~20pt top wick from 574.63 (ATH)
- Support Levels: 540 (must hold), below that → 530–525 fast track
Despite the pullback, bulls are still in control unless 540 breaks down. If that flips into resistance, expect deeper downside. But if it holds, this could just be a healthy shakeout.
💰 Macro Market Snapshot
- Bitcoin: ~$114,500
- Gold: ~$3,417/oz
- Silver: ~$37.30/oz
Precious metals and crypto remain elevated as traders hedge against policy chaos and geopolitical shakeups.
🗓️ Today’s Economic Data (All @ 10AM ET)
🇺🇸 Factory Orders (Jun)
🇺🇸 Core Durable Goods (Revised)
🇺🇸 Durable Goods
📺 Secret Sauce Live Stream Today!
🔥 Don’t miss today’s Secret Sauce Live Session—you already know the tools are working. Let’s prep together, refine our levels, and go into the week locked in.
Congrats to those who nailed last week’s trades—INTC is shaping up, and our Lotto tickets are in motion.
See you all in chat. Let’s stack gains and maybe… win the Lotto.
— Team OptionsPlayers
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