📊 CPI, Jobless Claims, and the Fed: A Balancing Act

The economic data released this morning sends a mixed but critical message to the Federal Reserve just days before its September meeting.

• CPI (Aug): +0.4% month-over-month, doubling July’s pace. Annual inflation now sits at 2.9%, the highest since January.
• Core CPI: +0.3% MoM, +3.1% YoY — right…

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📉 Put–Call Ratio at All-Time Highs: A Correction Signal🔎 What’s Happening

The put–call ratio (PCR), which measures the volume of bearish put options against bullish calls, is sitting at all-time highs. This shows traders are aggressively positioning for downside — a red flag that the market may be on the verge of a correction.

⚠️ Why It… Read more

📈 Futures Push Higher – Trade Deal & Earnings in Focus

U.S. stock futures are on the rise this morning following optimism around a newly announced U.S.-Japan trade agreement, which imposes a 15% tariff — lower than the 25% originally outlined by Trump. The White House has called this deal “massive” as it strengthens U.S.-Japan trade ties and…

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A downward revision of 800,000 jobs in U.S. employment data could significantly impact the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This large adjustment would suggest that the labor market is not as robust as previously thought, potentially weakening the case for immediate rate reductions that many in the market are hoping for.

The Federal…

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