Good morning, OP Fam! Futures are flat this morning as markets digest President Trumpโs new tariff hikes and wait for key jobs data. Meanwhile, $QQQ continues its breakout run, and we’re only inches from new all-time highs. Letโs dive into what matters today.
๐งจ 1. Steel Tariffs Now In Effect โ Market on Pause
Futures are holding steady ahead of the open:
- Dow Futures: Flat
- S&P 500 Futures: Flat
- Nasdaq 100 Futures: -19 pts (-0.1%)
Markets are steady after Tuesdayโs rally, driven by tech strength and chip momentum. However, caution lingers following President Trumpโs move to double steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%, now officially in effect.
Trumpโs administration argues the hikes are needed to โprotect national securityโ and curb foreign dumping. Markets are watching closely as this could ripple into inflation, earnings, and hiring trends.
๐ 2. Trump-Xi Call Could Cool or Ignite Trade War
The White House confirmed Trump will speak with Chinaโs Xi Jinping this week, just days after accusing China of violating a prior trade agreement. China denied the claim.
Trump, on Truth Social, called Xi โvery toughโ and โhard to make a deal with.โ Still, strategists at ING noted recent leader-to-leader calls have tended to ease trade tensions short term.
Meanwhile, Trump officials gave countries until today to submit trade deal proposals before the July expiration of the 90-day tariff pause from โLiberation Day.โ Negotiators say several deals are โclose,โ but only the U.K. deal has been finalized so far.
๐ 3. ADP Jobs Data in Focus Today
Watch for the ADP private payrolls report @ 8:15AM ET, expected to show 111,000 jobs added in May. Thatโs a rebound from Aprilโs weak 62,000 number.
This is a key prelude to Fridayโs NFP report, and traders are watching to gauge how tariff volatility is hitting hiringacross sectors.
Yesterdayโs JOLTS data showed 7.4M job openings and a drop in layoffs โ solid labor demand, but still mixed signals.
๐ 4. Dollar Tree Earnings Today (DLTR)
After Dollar General ($DG) posted a monster beat and lifted guidance yesterday, all eyes are on Dollar Treeโs numbers premarket.
With inflation and tariffs biting, budget-conscious consumer names are gaining momentum. Dollar Generalโs outperformance helped lift $DLTR shares over 4% Tuesday โ and todayโs report could be a trading catalyst for retail.
๐ข 5. Oil Prices Choppy After OPEC+ & Supply Risks
- Brent: $65.63 (unchanged)
- WTI: $63.40 (unchanged)
Oil held Tuesdayโs 2% rally, sparked by:
- Wildfires in Canada
- Tensions between Iran and the U.S.
- OPEC+ reaffirming Julyโs 411,000 bpd output hike
Watch Crude Oil Inventory data at 10:30AM ET for intraday energy sentiment.
๐ 6. QQQ Pushes Higher โ Breakout Still Active
$QQQ closed yesterday at 527.30, now just 2.5% away from breaking out to new all-time highs.
- Key Resistance: 530 โ 540 (ATH zone)
- Support Levels: 517 โ 510 โ 500
- Below 500 = potential gap fill to ~493
Tech strength and chip rallies are fueling the move. Just stay cautious of pullbacks on macro surprises.
๐ช 7. Bitcoin, Gold Stay Elevated
- Bitcoin: Holding aroundย $105,000
- Gold: Firm nearย $3,400/oz
Precious metals & crypto remain strong on safe-haven demand and rate cut bets. Gold miners continue to outperform into strength. Keep these sectors on your radar.
๐ฐ Other Headlines to Watch
- ๐ฆย Metaย inks 20-yearย nuclear energy dealย with Constellation Energy to power AI expansion
- ๐ย Toyota stock drops 13%ย after $33Bย buyout dealย of Toyota Industries announced
- ๐ย CVSย to closeย 270 storesย this year amid footprint realignment
- ๐งพย IRS confirmsย May tax filers to receive refunds this month via direct deposit
- ๐ ๏ธย INTC paid 85%+ย yesterday from our trade plan โ still holding LEAPS, will trim today โ
๐๏ธ Todayโs Key Economic Data:
- ๐บ๐ธย 8:15 AMย โ ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May)
- ๐บ๐ธย 8:30 AMย โ FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
- ๐บ๐ธย 9:45 AMย โ S&P Global Services & Composite PMI (May)
- ๐บ๐ธย 10:00 AMย โ ISM Non-Mfg. PMI, Employment & Prices
- ๐บ๐ธย 10:30 AMย โ Crude Oil Inventories
- ๐บ๐ธย 2:00 PMย โ Fed Beige Book
๐บ Today is Secret Sauce LIVE stream โ donโt miss the setups.
๐ฉ Need access? Email steve@optionsplayers.com now.
Letโs stack well, follow the plan, and trade what confirms. See you in chat!
โ Team OptionsPlayers | Stack Your Gainsโข
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